Mackay

Sunday, December 22, 2024Flat7fSoft

Verdict

GOING NUCLEAR (2) has hit a purple patch of form with a win and three placings from his past four outings and strikes a winnable contest here. Saves his best form for this distance range and should be right there when the whips are cracking. BO BO BEWARE (4) has placed two from three at this track and trip and gets some weight relief with the 1.5kg claim. Looms as the main danger. RELEASE LE MISSILE (3) got a well-deserved victory here last time out and will have derived a stack of confidence from that win. Top-three candidate on that sort of form. The well-related BRASCO (1) (half to G2 winner Blueberry Hill) is another last-start winner who is a must for the multiples. TORQUE ESPAGNA (8) next in line.

2. Going Nuclear
4. Bo Bo Beware
3. Release Le Missile

Win Only

2. 2. Going Nuclear
J: CHELSEA JOKICT: MATTHEW MCGUIRE
F: 71323
Price History:
3.25
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
Last start 3rd in a small field at Townsville Bm60 on December 5 over 1609m, slow going 0.7 len behind Brave Agenda with 60.5kg at $2.10. The run before that 2nd in a small field at Ingham Bm60 on November 16 over 1600m, nose behind Zouhope with 61.5kg at $2.50. Well placed to take this out.
1. 1. Brasco
J: ADAM SEWELLT: LACHIE MANZELMANN
F: 67321
Price History:
3.75
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
66
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Half-brother to Group 2 winner Blueberry Hill. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Townsville Cl4 December 13 over 1300m in soft going defeating Valenki with 57.5kg at $10. Before that ran on from midfield; 2nd of 9 at Townsville Cl3-Sw on December 5 over 1400m, on a slow track; 0.6 len behind Valenki with 58.5kg at $9.50. Draws well and another big run is in store.
4. 4. Bo Bo Beware
J: MCKENZIE APELT: KERROD SMYTH
F: 24215
Price History:
3.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
56
Days Since Last Run:
9
Verdict
Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at this track Bm58 on December 14 over 1560m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Roy's Road with 56kg at $1.80. The race before that favourite; won by 4.5 len at Rockhampton 0 - 55 November 29 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating General Hippo carrying 55.5kg at $2.30. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
5. 5. Encroachment
J: JUSTIN P STANLEYT: TRACY SIMMONS
F: 64179
Price History:
6.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-10
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Most recently 9th of 12 at Townsville Bm60 on December 13 over 1400m, on a slow track; 5 len behind Tambo's Justice carrying 55.5kg at $41. The start before that second last of 8 at Clermont Bm50 on November 16 over 1400m, 12 len behind So Outrageous with 61.5kg at $4.50. Prefer others in this contest.
3. 3. Release Le Missile
J: ASHLEY BUTLERT: D K AMOS
F: 09331
Price History:
6.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
27
Verdict
At the latest run favourite; was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 1.0 len at this track Bm60 November 26 over 1800m defeating Orca carrying 58kg at $3.80. The race before that 3rd of 10 at this track Cl1-Sw on November 14 over 1560m, 2.5 len behind General Hippo carrying 60kg at $4. Expected to go very well again.
7. 7. Naheightkay
J: OLIVIA KENDALT: JENNIFER HATFIELD
F: 07756
Price History:
13.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-10
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
9
Verdict
Last start eased back early on 6th of 9 at this track Bm58 on December 14 over 1560m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Roy's Road with 55kg at $41. The race before that ran last in a small field at Rockhampton 0 - 55 on November 29 over 1600m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Bo Bo Beware with 56kg at $13. Hard to have.
8. 8. Torque Espagna
J: PIETRO ROMEOT: JOHN MANZELMANN
F: 63631
Price History:
34.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-10
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
49
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Most recently won by 1.1 len at Home Hill Bm50 December 7 over 1460m defeating Eyes Are Lion carrying 57kg at $6. The start before that 3rd of 10 at this track Bm60 on November 26 over 1800m, 2.5 len behind Release Le Missile carrying 54kg at $26. Will prove hard to beat.

Mackay

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